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Showing posts from December, 2020

The Week Ahead - New Year In Sight

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EaglePointe neighborhood, Snoqualmie Ridge (elev ~1,100ft ) -  Christmas Eve While most seem anxious for what 2021 will bring, in the short run it would appear more of the same, and that includes the weather pattern.    A chance of light rain Sunday morning as a weak front moves northward, though most of the precipitation should be to the west of us.  We should then get some clearing later in the day as high pressure begins to build in.  However, it does appear we have another round of moderate Cascadia (gap) winds to get through ~25-35 mph this evening as an E-W pressure gradient sets up shop.  This one is a bit more NE-SW oriented, so areas to the north susceptible like Gold Bar may see a bit stronger winds than us this go around. Winds should dissipate after midnight and we'll be left with relatively clear skies with areas dropping below freezing, if not early Monday, very likely early Tuesday.  We should see rather sunny skies, outside of areas of fog that may form, Monday and

Colder Air (and Snow??) Imminent!

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After a record setting 61° for winter solstice, we’re watching the stark rain-snow line make it’s way southeast this afternoon into evening.   A dramatic temperature drop is imminent! This is a tricky one indeed... While earlier model runs had pointed to sparse remaining moisture tonight, there’s now better model consensus that shower activity should hang around long enough to possibly see some wet flakes tonight as precipitation mixes with this incoming cooler air.  We’re not talking a freeze or icy conditions, but we can’t rule out some wet snow accumulations. So here’s the no guts no glory snow forecast- (dividing this into hilltops of Eagle Pt, Wilderness Rim ~1000 ft, and lower elevations of Snoqualmie/North Bend ~500 ft Best window for snow 6pm-midnight  @ 1000ft  -visible snowflakes, odds 60% -dusting, odds 50% -1-3”, odds 35% (rooftops and lawns) @ 500 ft -visible snowflakes, odds 50% -dusting, odds 40% -1-3”, odds 20% (rooftops and lawns) Lastly, roads are very warm, especiall

The Week Ahead - Snowflakes Before Christmas ??

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Many out here remember the epic December snow and White Christmas of 2008, but do you remember 2017?   White Christmas 2017 Looking west at The Heights neighborhood, Snoqualmie Ridge (from Douglas Ave SE & SE Carmichael St)  For the week ahead: After another rainy Saturday that became blustery last night, we're trying to dry out this morning, in between weather systems for much of Sunday before steadier rain returns late tonight.  The mountains will be battling between rain and snow, but snowpack melt looks minor and little potential threat for river flooding at this point. As previously mentioned, another front looks set to move in later tonight into Monday bringing another good dose of rain, heavy at times Monday morning that should gradually decrease in the afternoon and evening.  Models are mixed currently as to whether or not we'll see another round of southerly winds develop Monday afternoon. Now is where things get more interesting.. An upper trough and cold front wi

The Week Ahead - Much Wetter, Winds of Some Kind May Return

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Waking from another sleep disrupted gap wind event Saturday night. zzz :(  We typically get 6-10 of these Cascadia (gap) wind events that produce significant winds (tallied if peak gusts on Snoqualmie Ridge reach at least 40 mph) per fall/winter season.   We're already at four!   2020-21 Here's how the last couple windstorm seasons compared... 2019-20 2018-19 Further back, an 80 mph gap wind event in December 2003 was the closest we got this millennium to the monster  gap windstorm of the last century The week ahead -- Otherwise, rain has spread into the Puget Sound area Sunday. What precipitation wasn't getting eaten by these dry east winds was mixing briefly with snow down to around 500-1,000 feet early Sunday morning, but further threat should be short-lived as winds shifting more southerly this afternoon will bring warmer air aloft.  Light rain otherwise into Sunday night.  With the snow level still around 2,000 feet, a few inches of snow can be expected at Snoqualmie P

What a Windy Week! Now Something Mysterious May Fall From the Sky

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Wow what a week!  All that wind with not much rain! We had three strong rounds of winds, each with a peak gust at or exceeding 40 mph 11/30 -      40 mph     S     Precip = 0.5" 12/02 -      45 mph     E     Precip = 0.0" 12/05-       60 mph     E     Precip = 0.0" I like to track the windstorms that hit the Snoqualmie Valley area (most are gap winds from the east) which clock a peak gust at or above 40 mph.  Usually 6-8 per fall/winter season, with the bulk after New Years; when E. WA gets super cold and we get some really good pressure differences with storms off the coast.   We're already at three!  The most damaging of which was Saturday morning, bringing down trees and fences.  The peak gusts didn't last long, but were ferocious.  Wunderground weather station Watch Got to squeeze more pain into 2020 I guess, am I right .. ?!?  I haven't seen a gust of 60 mph in several years.  Many that have lived in the area for a couple decades  may recall the mons