High wind watch!
Looking at the latest model runs, my prior **High Wind Watch** calling for 40+ mph gusts may be too conservative. I now see substantial agreement for gap wind gusts tonight 45-55 mph. Timing has pushed a bit later, with peak gusts likely ~6 am Thursday, but expect strong E/SE gusts late tonight through morning tomorrow.
The winds should be triggered by a fairly potent low dropping down from the gulf of Alaska and eventually track into central Oregon, just grazing us. That's the right setup to begin pulling on high pressure from E. WA.
From a precipitation stand point, not much. It also isn't going to draw in super cold air from the Frazier B.C. gaps, but cold enough for slight chance of light snow.
Longer range, NWS now thinks snow levels will be around ~1,500 ft into this weekend which would keep the threat of snow in the foothills to a minimum. This of course may change as we do look to stay much cooler than normal for mid-February and given that it's difficult to rule out wet snow on our highest hills. I'll continue to do my best to tailor incoming information to our unique microclimate.
The winds should be triggered by a fairly potent low dropping down from the gulf of Alaska and eventually track into central Oregon, just grazing us. That's the right setup to begin pulling on high pressure from E. WA.
From a precipitation stand point, not much. It also isn't going to draw in super cold air from the Frazier B.C. gaps, but cold enough for slight chance of light snow.
Longer range, NWS now thinks snow levels will be around ~1,500 ft into this weekend which would keep the threat of snow in the foothills to a minimum. This of course may change as we do look to stay much cooler than normal for mid-February and given that it's difficult to rule out wet snow on our highest hills. I'll continue to do my best to tailor incoming information to our unique microclimate.
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